Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 19 Jan

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by ICM, one by Panelbase, one by Survation and one by Ipsos MORI. The polls […]

Introducing Our Westminster Poll of Polls

Regular users of this site during the referendum will remember that one of its more popular features was a ‘Poll of Polls’ of voting intentions in the referendum. It showed the average share of the vote for Yes and No recorded by the last six polls of referendum voting intentions. Attention is now, of course, […]

Ipsos MORI Give Murphy Little To Smile About

If there was a slight smile on Jim Murphy’s face at the news on Sunday that, according to Panelbase, the SNP’s lead for May’s general election had dropped from 17 points to 10, it will have disappeared on hearing the news from Ipsos MORI for STV last night that with just 24% support, his party […]

Labour Still Have A Mountain To Climb: New Survation Poll

The quiet of the New Year is definitely over. Just 24 hours after the publication of the first readings of the year, today’s Daily Record reports the findings of its latest monthly poll from Survation. Much like yesterday’s Panelbase poll in The Sunday Times today’s poll suggests there might have been some narrowing of the […]

Reason for Labour to Smile A Little?

The New Year has seen Labour’s new Scottish leader, Jim Murphy, make a few waves with a promise to deliver 1,000 extra nurses that would in effect be paid for by the proceeds of a UK government mansion tax that would be paid primarily by those living in London and the South East. Meanwhile the […]

ICM Underline Labour’s Woes and Affirm Smith’s Lack of Popularity

There has so far perhaps been something of a reluctance amongst those working on London newsdesks to accept that the SNP could emerge as the third largest party at Westminster in May, and in so doing potentially do serious damage to Ed Miliband’s prospects of winning a Commons majority. If so, that reluctance should be […]

Murphy Proves Not To Be A Magic Bullet For Labour

Any hopes that Labour might have that the election of Mr Murphy as its Scottish leader would prove to be a magic bullet are dispelled by the first poll to be conducted since he won the crown. Conducted by Survation for the Daily Record, it puts Labour on 24% in voting intentions for next May’s […]

So How Many 16 and 17 Year Olds Voted?

The Electoral Commission has released its report on the conduct of the Scottish independence referendum today. For the most part the exercise gets top marks. Voters not only turned out in unprecedented numbers, but were also largely satisfied with the arrangements for voting. Underpinning the report is a relatively large post-referendum survey in which 1,852 […]

New Leader, Old Troubles: Labour in Scotland

The Murdoch press empire decided to rain on the Scottish Labour leadership parade on Saturday by releasing a YouGov poll in The Sun and The Times showing the party is 20 points behind the SNP in voting intentions for next Westminster’s election – an outcome that could see it lose the vast bulk of its […]

Survation Add To Labour’s Woes

Findings from the first post-referendum poll to be conducted by Survation for the Daily Record have been released during the course of the last couple of days. There are two key findings. First, the poll confirms that there has been a major shift of Westminster voting intentions from Labour to the SNP since the referendum. […]

Panelbase on Labour and Independence

A new poll from Panelbase has now been released by the Wings over Scotland website, which broke new ground during the referendum campaign by crowdsource funding three polls. Conducted during the week ending on Wednesday, the site’s latest poll provides further insight into the state of the race for next year’s Westminster election and on […]

Evidence and Confusion: More on Recent Scottish Polling

A further tranche of results from YouGov’s poll for The Times was released on Saturday, while additional findings from Ipsos MORI’s poll for STV are also now available. Between them they contain a few points that are worth noting – on independence, more devolution, further referendums and the party battle. Independence Saturday’s Times greeted us […]

YouGov Confirm SNP Well Ahead

A bit like buses, after a dearth of polling for a few weeks, not just one, but two Scottish polls were released yesterday. Following on from Ipsos MORI’s poll for STV released yesterday lunchtime, last night a YouGov poll for The Times was published. Although its results are not as dramatic as those of Ipsos […]

Ipsos MORI Give SNP Record Westminster Poll Rating

Ever since 18 September, Labour have been fretting about the impact the referendum campaign may have had on their prospects north of the border in next May’s Westminster election. Although the party was on the winning side in the referendum, the Yes vote was relatively high in the less affluent and thus more Labour parts […]

The Referendum Legacy

Today TNS BMRB have published their first poll of voters in Scotland since the referendum. As well as giving us an insight into the relative popularity of the ways in which people actually got involved in the referendum campaign, it also provides some evidence on whether the referendum has left a legacy of potentially higher […]