Survation on the Opportunities and Challenges of 2016

Just when it looked as though we might be having a quiet, poll free summer before the next round of electoral politics begins in earnest, the Scottish Daily Mail has opted to run a poll from Survation. It covers how people might vote in the Holyrood election next year and in the EU referendum whenever […]

And So Our Eyes Turn To May 2016

There is little rest in the world of politics.  Today sees the publication of the first poll of voting intentions for next May’s Holyrood election since the UK general election on May 7th.  During the UK election such readings were largely ignored, but now that that ballot is behind us, the battle for power at […]

How Accurate were the General Election Polls in Scotland?

The unanticipated success of the Conservatives in winning a narrow overall majority in the UK general election has raised questions about the performance of the polls, and the British Polling Council (BPC) has announced that an independent inquiry will be conducted into what happened.  On average the GB-wide polls pointed to a dead heat between […]

Final Polls Still Show SNP Well Ahead

The final two polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the general election were released late last night. The first was by Survation for the Daily Record, the second by YouGov for The Times and The Sun. The YouGov poll was in fact a boosted Scottish sub-sample of a much larger Britain-wide poll, but as […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 6 May FINAL

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest and final Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one poll by Survation.  Between them the […]

Panelbase Hold SNP Vote Steady

Earlier today Panelbase released the results of their final poll of voting intentions in Scotland for tomorrow’s UK general election. Like the YouGov poll at the weekend, it suggests that very little has changed in the latter stages of the campaign. The poll puts the SNP on 48%, unchanged from the company’s previous poll conducted […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 6 May

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one poll by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one by Ipsos MORI […]

YouGov: SNP Surge Holds Steady

Today’s Sunday Times (in Scotland) contains a full sized poll of voting intentions in Scotland alongside the paper’s regular Britain-wide poll from YouGov. It tells almost exactly the same story as YouGov’s two previous polls for The Times conducted in early and mid-April. The SNP are credited with 49% of the vote, unchanged from both […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 1 May

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one poll by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one by Ipsos MORI […]

Ipsos MORI Find A Swing to the SNP Too

It was in truth almost inevitable that today’s Ipsos MORI poll for STV would prove to be a  headline grabber. After all, the company put the SNP on 52% 29 points ahead of Labour, as long as late October last year – well above the estimate of any other polling company at the time. If, […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 27 April Revised

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one poll by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one by Ipsos MORI […]

Survation Also Put The SNP Above The 50% Mark

A second company is now suggesting that the SNP could win over 50% in Scotland on May 7th – a feat not achieved by any party since the Conservatives won 50.1% in 1955.  In a poll that appears in today’s Daily Record, Survation put the SNP on 51%, up four points on its previous reading […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 27 April

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on one poll by Survation, one poll by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one by TNS BMRB.  […]

TNS BMRB Put SNP Support Even Higher

TNS BMRB published their latest poll of voting intentions in Scotland this morning. It will undoubtedly not do anything to calm nerves in the Labour camp. However, like any poll that produces a seemingly extraordinarily result, it should be examined carefully. First, the bald fgures. The poll puts the SNP on 54%, up two points […]

Poll of Polls: Westminster Vote Intentions: 23 April Revised

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks/ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time. The latest Poll of Polls is based on two polls by YouGov,  one poll by Panelbase, and one by TNS BMRB.  Between them the four […]