New Filter to Help You Interpret the Referendum Polls

It will come as no surprise to regular users of this site to hear that the most visited page is the referendum voting intention time series. This graph presents the results from all polls that have asked the question that will appear on this September’s ballot paper: ‘Should Scotland be an independent country?’ One strength […]

Easter Polls Offer Further Hope For Yes

The headline results of the two polls published today, one by ICM Research for Scotland on Sunday and one by Survation for the Sunday Post, will doubtless be regarded as encouraging for the Yes side. Some of the details too will do little to dispel the impression that the No campaign is a campaign in […]

More Stability from Panelbase, now for Yes Scotland

In commissioning and publishing the poll from Panelbase that it released this morning (which showed Yes 40%, No 45%, Don’t Know 15%), the Yes Scotland campaign was doubtless hoping to persuade us that it is on the edge of victory in September.  Its press release highlighted the fact that, at 47% (once the Don’t Knows […]

Has The Yes Side’s Progress Stalled?

The first installment of the latest monthly poll to be conducted by Survation for the Daily Record is published today. It gives the Yes side reason to pause for thought, while the No side’s recent apparent nervousness should be steadied a little. The poll puts Yes on 37%, down two points on a month ago, […]

Panelbase Wings Poll Shows Narrow But Unchanged No Lead

Panelbase, the nationalists’ favourite pollster, have a new poll of voting intentions out this morning. It has been commissioned by the pro-independence web site, Wings over Scotland, the third such poll  the site has funded via contributions from its readers. The poll puts the Yes vote on 41%, No on 46%. Both votes are up […]